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Clean Line STILL Has No Customers

10/13/2017

12 Comments

 
You're going to have to dig really deep to get past the out-of-control ego and the made up facts in this fake news story, but once you do, here's what emerges:
The company, which has almost 40 employees, has no current source of revenue.
No source of revenue.  For eight years.  How many other companies do you know of that haven't made a dime of revenue in 8 years and still pretend to be successful?  And then there's the claim that there are "almost" 40 employees.  How many is "almost" 40?  Is it 35?  Is it 30?  Is it 15?  Is it 10?  In the photo of the "team room" I count 8 desks and 2 people.  Was it lunch time?  After hours?  A holiday?  Why would a reporter visit the office when there's hardly anyone in it?  Or does Clean Line no longer have a team?  Clean Line's physical "team" room looks pretty much like their late "our team" webpage... unpopulated.

But yet Skelly claims they're all heroes.
“You would think in eight years, you would have sort of a lull, but it’s a sort of a mad dash every day to move these projects forward,” Skelly said. “It’s more like an Ironman [Triathlon], not a marathon. It’s more like a decathlon, but it goes on for eight years.”
Iron parts aside, there's a fine line between fiery determination and hopeless lunacy.  It's probably going to go on a lot longer than eight years, because:
... neither TVA nor any other utility has signed a contract to buy the power the project would transmit.
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Poor, poor, pitiful Michael Skelly.  Everyone's against him.
Skelly said that while landowners’ opposition to transmission projects is “understandable,” the pushback from within the industry is more frustrating.
...................
Pointing to Commonwealth Edison’s opposition to the Rock Island project in Illinois, he said, “Why are they doing that?..."

Skelly tells a "story" about an anonymous person saying Clean Line can't build its projects fast enough, touts an old MOU with the TVA that required TVA to merely consider the project (which they did and declined to sign up), and shares that "very large consumers of power ... care about carbon..." but yet Clean Line has no customers.

The article also claims
Clean Line has worked hard in Missouri to gain community support for Grain Belt.

“You have to build alliances,” Skelly said. “We’ve got support from labor groups, environmental groups, business groups, from political leaders … doing these projects without building those types of alliances would be really, really difficult.”
And it's really, really, REALLY difficult to permit a project that does not have "community support" that's not bought and paid for.  Here's what the ACTUAL community members along Clean Line's proposed route have to say about how Clean Line tried to build "community support":
And when community support fails and states deny permits?  Threaten to go whining to the Feds.
Skelly has said seeking DOE authority for the Grain Belt and Rock Island lines is an option but not his first choice because it is slow and costly.
Clean Line sorta jumped the gun on that one, don't you think?  It had applied to the U.S. DOE as a Section 1222 project before it was even rejected by the Arkansas Public Service Commission.  And then the APSC's denial stated specifically that it was denied because Clean Line didn't intend to serve any customers in the state.  All Clean Line had to do was propose a converter station in the state and reapply.  But it ignored that and persisted with the DOE to secure the wonderful, awesome, powerful participation of the Feds in its project.  And what did that change, anyhow?  Well, it cost millions.  And it took years.  Skelly is right about that.  But it also bought them nothing.  A year and a half after DOE agreed to participate, Plains & Eastern is still going nowhere.  Because it has no customers.  DOE participation hasn't turned out to be so magical after all.

Clean Line's investor line up keeps shifting.  Clean Line likes to pretend its investors are quite hush-hush, but they manage to drop enough bits of random information in different venues that one merely needs to collect them all and do a bit of math to bring the picture into focus.
Clean Line spokeswoman Sarah Bray said Bluescape is now the company’s “principal investor,” although National Grid, ZBI and the Zilkha family have retained equity stakes.
The last time I did an info compilation in 2015, the investor totals looked like this. 

GridAmerica Holdings (National Grid) has invested $55.7M and currently owns 40% of the company.

ZAM Ventures (Ziff brothers) has invested $73.8M and currently is the majority owner, with a 53% stake.

Michael Zilkha has a piddling $2.8M invested, which gives him a 2% ownership interest.

The remaining 5% (or $6.7M) is owned by "Clean Line Investment" which is some vague investment vehicle owned by "service providers and employees of Clean Line."

Total investment:  Around $140M

Now Sarah Bray informs us that Bluescape is the majority investor, which indicates that Bluescape has dumped more than $73.8M into the Clean Line sink hole.  Clean Line must be more than $200M in the hole to their investors over all, and still not a glimmer of hope in sight.

Here's what's REALLY going on with Skelly's projects (pay no mind to that "summary" in the article, it's missing quite a few key facts):

Rock Island Clean Line: The Illinois Supreme Court opinion said that Rock Island Clean Line is not a public utility, and therefore may not use eminent domain to acquire land for its project. The Court reasoned that since RICL had claimed it has not asked for eminent domain authority, that it didn’t need it and should proceed to build its project without eminent domain authority. I urge you to read and report on the actual Opinion, instead of taking the loser’s view of the case as a fact. See http://www.blockricl.com
In addition to not being a public utility in Illinois, RICL has also been denied the ability to ever use eminent domain in Iowa through new legislation passed last year. See
https://www.iowastopricl.com

Grain Belt Express: The Illinois Supreme Court opinion on RICL determined it was not a public utility. If RICL isn’t a public utility, than neither is GBE, which is an identical project that also runs through Illinois. There is currently an appeal in the Illinois 5th District Court, an opinion can come at any time. The issue in that appeal is whether GBE was a public utility at the time it applied for its CPCN at the Illinois Commerce Commission. If RICL cannot be a public utility even after receiving a (since vacated) CPCN, than GBE cannot be a public utility before it even applies. GBE is denied for the third time in Missouri, and the opponents also filed an appeal in the Western District Court of Appeals. It is unclear which court will hear the appeal, and unlikely that the Western District will be overturned. Remember, the Western District’s opinion has already been examined by the Missouri Supreme Court and let stand. These are all fatal issues for GBE.

Plains & Eastern: The Arkansas delegation met with Rick Perry again just recently. Maybe you should ask them what they think, instead of asking Skelly what they think? While Skelly reports they have bought right-of-way, he failed to mention that right-of-way acquisition stopped months ago, and a land agent told a landowner that Clean Line was stopping all land acquisition because it had “bought too much right-of-way.” Skelly also forgot to tell the reporter about the recent rejection of Clean Line’s offer of $80M to the Cherokee Nation in exchange for rights to cross the Arkansas River. Without the Cherokee Nation’s permission, P&E is sunk. The reporter also completely failed to mention the ongoing Federal court challenge to DOE’s presumption that Section 1222 gives it condemnation authority. An important hearing is coming up next month.
Really, what's there to be optimistic about here?  Are the investors really looking forward to dumping more money into lobbying and paid advocates, lawyers, and hopeless legal actions?  How many more years are the investors going to watch their money pissed away on fire stations and paid political hacks when what Clean Line so desperately needs is customers?

A fire station "compound" and pictures of Bob Marley in your deserted office doesn't make one successful in the energy world.  Perhaps one would need to pop one's head out of one's own derriere now and again to do a bit of a reality check.  Maybe some of us are laughing with you... and maybe some of us are laughing at you.

I believe this looks like a portrait of a dying company whose leader is floating merrily down de Nile in an overpriced party boat.  Party till the cash dries up (or the overly bright orange carpeting and quasi-mod decor makes you so dizzy you throw up).  And don't forget to take a spin around the fire pole on your way out.
12 Comments

Transource Lies About Project Benefits

10/9/2017

0 Comments

 
It's a noun, not a verb.

When Transource was faced with the reality that its Independence Energy Connection (also known as "Projects b2743 & b2752" and "Market Efficiency Project 9A" in PJM parlance) did not provide much benefit to the geographic area sacrificed for the new transmission lines, it re-wrote its project "Fact Sheet" to gloss over this shortcoming.

Transource now says:
Who benefits from the project? For this project, PJM projects $622 million in cost savings for consumers in 10 power zones. Those zones are listed below and displayed on the map to the right. Generally speaking, when low-cost electricity is introduced into the market, it helps drive the overall competitiveness of the electric grid for all power zones.

Benefiting Power Zones Identified by PJM:

American Electric Power Co., Inc, Allegheny Power Systems, Baltimore Gas & Electric, ComEd, Dayton Power and Light Company, Duke Energy Ohio and Kentucky, Duquesne Light, Dominion, East Kentucky Power Cooperative, Potomac Electric Power Company.

The high-voltage electric grid operates across towns, counties and state boundaries. As such, the benefit of this project is not confined
to geographical boundaries. Customer-driven improvement projects in one area of the grid can benefit customers on another part of the electric grid. For example, recent improvements made in Indiana and Westmoreland counties, more than 100 miles away, improved how the grid operates in York County.


And here is the power zone map supplied by Transource.
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Transource wants the public affected by this project to believe that benefits will be spread evenly over all power zones.

But that is not the case.  Transource must have run out of room because it did not also supply the Cost Responsibility percentages for the power zones on its map.  Or maybe they purposely didn't include it because it did not support their propaganda narrative.

One of the most basic rules of assigning cost responsibility for new transmission projects is that cost must be commensurate with benefit.  Therefore, the first step to assigning costs to certain zones is to determine benefit for each zone.  PJM did that analysis and posted its cost responsibility assignments here.
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Since cost is directly proportional to benefit, you may interpret this chart to show the percentage of benefit to each power zone.
  • AEP zone = 6.56%
  • APS zone = 8.73%
  • BGE zone = 19.73%
  • ComEd zone = 2.16%
  • ConEd zone = 0.06%
  • Dayton zone = 0.59%
  • DEOK zone = 1.02%
  • DL zone = 0.01%
  • Dominion zone = 39.92%
  • EKPC zone = 0.45%
  • PEPCO zone = 20.87%
If you add up the BGE (Baltimore Gas & Electric), Dominion (Northern Virginia) and PEPCO (Washington, DC) zones, you will get 80.52%.  That means that 80.52% of the benefits of this project will be confined to those zones.  Baltimore, Northern Virginia and Washington, DC, will receive more than 80% of the benefit from this project.

There will be no new transmission lines in Baltimore, Northern Virginia or Washington, DC (oh, the horrors, the horrors!).  If PJM tried to build new transmission in these urban areas, even to lower prices by a few cents per year, the pushback would be enormous.  Instead, PJM (and Transource) have moved the burden of new transmission lines into the APS zone (8.73% of project benefit) and Metropolitan Edison Co. zone (ZERO percent of project benefit).  The APS zone will receive just 8% of the $622M benefit, but it will shoulder 100% of the project burden.  In the case of MetEd, the people will shoulder 100% of project burden in exchange for... NO BENEFIT WHATSOEVER.

So, when Transource says that everyone benefits, that's just not true.  Some benefit more than others.  And the ones receiving the lion's share of benefit from this project are people who have sacrificed absolutely nothing in exchange for saving a few pennies on their electric bill.

As well, "generally speaking" providing new pathways for power exports from a constrained area serves to raise prices for the previously constrained area.  If an area is flooded with cheap power that has no where else to go, competition is at work to keep prices at the lowest possible.  Once the area is no longer constrained, the area must now compete for pricing with new areas where power is more expensive.  If a generator can sell its power at double the price in Baltimore,  it has no incentive to compete with other suppliers to keep prices low in the previously constrained area.  Instead, power prices in the previously constrained area will rise, becoming competitive with prices in Baltimore.  Market efficiency transmission projects perform a leveling of prices across certain regions between source (generation) and sink (power users).  Transource forgot to tell you this, as well.

Baltimore, Northern Virginia and Washington, DC, will receive more than 80% of the power savings from this project.  Transource has lied through omission.

Hmm... maybe it is a verb after all.
0 Comments

Missouri Law Works for New Transmission Projects

9/8/2017

11 Comments

 
Clean Line and its big city environmentalist friends want to change Missouri law for their own benefit.  Changing Missouri law doesn't benefit Missouri.

The problem?  A Missouri law that has been functioning for 100 years.  Sec. 229-100 says
TITLE XIV ROADS AND WATERWAYS Chapter 229 Provisions Relating to All Roads
Section 229.100. Improvements along public roads--location--control.

229.100. No person or persons, association, companies or corporations shall erect poles for the suspension of electric light, or power wires, or lay and maintain pipes, conductors, mains and conduits for any purpose whatever, through, on, under or across the public roads or highways of any county of this state, without first having obtained the assent of the county commission of such county therefor; and no poles shall be erected or such pipes, conductors, mains and conduits be laid or maintained, except under such reasonable rules and regulations as may be prescribed and promulgated by the county highway engineer, with the approval of the county commission.
Missouri counties must assent to the crossing of their roads by linear infrastructure projects.  Missouri counties are responsible for their roadways, so naturally they have control.  Without that control, linear infrastructure projects could block, make useless, and destroy roadways that the county is financially responsible to maintain.  A transmission company could cause all sorts of problems with county roads and skip off into the night, leaving repair costs to burden county taxpayers.

When the Mark Twain Transmission project was approved subject to future county assent, a Missouri court corrected by determining that county assent must come before PSC approval.  Mark Twain found itself in a predicament.  The counties would not give assent because the Mark Twain project proposed new rights of way over county roads.  So, what did Mark Twain do?  Did they have a big, sniveling tantrum and demand that Missouri change its law to allow crossing without county assent?  No.  Mark Twain went back to the drawing board to create a better project for which the counties could give assent.

The revised Mark Twain project used existing rights of way and road crossings for its project, adding new capacity and rebuilding an old circuit.  Eminent domain for new rights of way was minimized.  While not everyone was happy, the revised project was improvement enough to receive the assent of impacted counties.  That's right... Missouri law worked as intended to allow impacted counties to have control over the crossing of their roadways, while still allowing transmission projects to be built.

The Mark Twain Transmission project is a MISO-ordered project.  MISO thinks this project is important and needed.  Perhaps it was important enough that compromise was the best path forward to achieving success.  While MISO didn't get what it originally wanted, it did eventually get county assent to build a project that achieved its goal while also compromising to create a project that the counties could approve.  This is the way the law is intended to work.  Mark Twain changed its project to work within Missouri's law, instead of attempting to repeal the law in order to build its original plan.

Missouri law works to protect Missouri.  There's no reason to toss the baby out with the bathwater and bow to out-of-state interests who don't want to follow Missouri law.

Clean Line's contention that no linear infrastructure projects can be built in Missouri with the 100-year old law in place is completely and totally wrong.  Mark Twain is proof that infrastructure CAN be built in Missouri.  It's testament that acceptable projects can be built.

The problem here is that Clean Line does not want to revise its project to become something acceptable to Missouri counties.  Clean Line has cut off all communication with Missouri counties.  Clean Line is not even trying to compromise for a win-win -- where counties are happy and projects get built.  Instead, Clean Line wants to have its own way, building its project and leaving counties with the tax burden of caring for the roads Clean Line destroys.  This is not in the best interest of Missourians.  It is only in the best interests of Clean Line, an out-of-state company with foreign investors.

Just say no to Clean Line.  Say no to its outside interference in Missouri's legislative process.  Once Missouri cedes control of its fate to the hands of outside influence, it can never be regained.

Clean Line needs to go back to the drawing board and build a better project, one that doesn't require Missouri to cede control to greedy foreign investors or urban environmental groups.  One that works for Missourians.  Put Missouri first!
11 Comments

Missing Buyer Syndrome

9/5/2017

5 Comments

 
Say what?  "Missing buyer syndrome?"  That's not a "syndrome," that's a capitalism fail.  If someone offers a product or service that nobody wants to buy, it's not a "syndrome" that can or should be cured.  It simply means that the product or service offered is not marketable, not needed, and not beneficial to targeted customers.

Except what if the seller wants to force the purchase of its product or service because it sees an opportunity to make a lot of money if someone buys the product or service?  Then it's a "syndrome" that must be cured through government intervention.  That's absurd.  Why don't we call it what it is... government-facilitated corporate greed?

"Missing buyer syndrome" is the bastard child of greedy corporations who want to make a bundle of money building new wind farms in the Midwest and huge new transmission lines to move the electricity generated to population centers.
The proposed Chokecherry Sierra Madre wind energy project could face challenges selling power in the desert southwest, officials told lawmakers in Casper last week.

The energy generated from the proposed 1,000-turbine site will be carried along a high power transmission line to California and the desert southwest.

California, however, is being difficult.

“We have a huge issue in California in that Californians would like to keep all of the development and buy all of their power from within their borders,” she said.

“We call it the missing buyer syndrome. The need is still there … we believe the market is there, but we are right now caught in a limbo.”

Ah, sweetcheeks, if your buyer is "missing" then there is no market.  There is no need.  There is no "limbo."  It's simple supply and demand.  Economics 101.  It's not up to Wyoming, or Chokecherry Sierra Madre Wind, to determine what energy suppliers in other states buy.  Nobody cares what you think, especially because you're driven by greed.

And here's another "missing buyer" for a greedy company that also found there was no demand for its service.
Clean Line Energy Partners, a Houston-based company that proposes to bring wind-generated power from Oklahoma and Texas to the Southeast along a $2.5 billion transmission line, says it could deliver power to TVA at less than 2 cents per kilowatt-hour.

But the utility has yet to commit to buying any of the 3,500 megawatts of wind-generated power Clean Line Energy will bring to the western edge of TVA's territory along its 720-mile transmission line from near Diamond, Okla. TVA said it doesn't need more power generation because of the stagnant demand for electricity in its seven-state region, and Johnson said TVA still would have to maintain or build other generation capacity to make up for the Clean Line energy when the wind doesn't blow.

"The price [from Clean Line Power], in and of itself, is a good price for wind," Johnson said. "But it actually costs us a lot more to import it and to make sure we have gas plants running or capable of running in case the wind doesn't show up."

Johnson estimates having the additional capacity to make up for when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine typically adds at least 2 cents per kilowatt-hour to the quoted price of such renewable energy.

"At the moment, we have yet to conclude that [buying power from Clean Line Energy] is the right fit for what we are doing," he said.

"But I am mostly pro consumer, so we want what is the best price, the most reliable and the cleanest power for the consumer," he said. "Given our demand projections, we actually don't need any additional generating capacity at this time."

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But yet environmental groups continue to sing and dance at each quarterly TVA board meeting, and certain news outlets continue to eat it up and present it to the public as if environmentalists are better at planning and running the TVA system than the slate of professional economists and engineers employed by TVA.  Unlike urban environmentalists, TVA professionals plan its resources based on need and economics, not some pie in the sky environmental goals.  TVA is "pro consumer."  Environmentalists are "pro environment," no matter the cost.  Clean Line and other wanna be transmission developers are "pro profits."  The only one in this menage a trois who is looking out for consumers is the TVA.
And how do these greedy corporations think they can cure "missing buyer syndrome?"
The Trump administration could help by pushing for an infrastructure package that would see the government “buying down a portion of the capacity” on big transmission projects so they can enter construction more quickly, or perhaps through an investment tax credit, Skelly suggests.

“All the ideas come down to a temporary underwriting of the project so you can get these things over the top, or some sort of tax mechanism.”
This one wants to force the federal government to take the place of the "missing buyer."  And if the federal government became the "missing buyer" then its customers would be forced to shoulder economic risk and financially support corporate greed through higher electric rates.

The Anschutz Corp. wants state governments to force "missing buyers" to purchase its product and service through legal mandates.  It's all the same corporate greed looking for a government bailout for bad investments in renewable energy and electric transmission.

While these investors thought they saw a financial opportunity to use government tax credits to build something that's only needed through forced mandates, their gamble has not paid off.  The government mandates are shifting and there's a new call to keep energy local.  While the industrial wind industry thought it could exploit windy states to produce energy for export, the target importing states have a greed of their own to keep their energy dollars in state.  This creates the mythical "missing customer."

If a state can choose between local economic development and sending those same dollars out of state to develop the economy elsewhere, the choice is simple.  But what about those states that think they can develop their own economy becoming an exporter?  They're selling themselves short.  Instead of becoming an industrial wasteland in exchange for a few jobs and tax dollars, those states should be marketing themselves as a cheap energy mecca.  Instead of exporting energy, perhaps they should try importing energy-intensive businesses?

And what about all those "fly over" states caught between states that want to export renewable energy and their "missing customers?"  They're getting nothing in the deal and they're not going along with it.
Dozens of developers are competing to offer Massachusetts the best price for long-term contracts to supply clean energy to hundreds of thousands of homes. But many of the projects face a challenge: convincing residents of northern New England that it's in their interest to host the Bay State's extension cord.
I think it's pretty clear.  Those corporations who gambled that they could make a lot of money developing remote generators and transmission lines to connect the generators to demand centers made a bad investment.  It was a bad idea fueled by greed.  We've all made bad investments in our lives, from  huge market-crashing bad deals to the weekly waste of buying lottery tickets that never win.  But when we lose, we realize we can't demand a government bailout to save us from our own bad decisions.  And that's the difference between us regular folk and the one percent, who aren't used to taking responsibility for their own losses.  Nobody cares how many millions Philip Anschutz, National Grid, or the Ziff brothers have poured into these bad renewable energy ideas.  They made a bad decision and they no more deserve a government bailout than the guy on the corner who is holding a worthless lottery ticket.

Remote renewables are dead.  Stop throwing good money after bad.  Local renewables are on the rise.  Quit wasting the remaining years of the production tax credit on bad ideas.  Here's the next great thing:
Offshore wind is still a relatively costly technology, but here's one advantage: You can build ocean-based windmills pretty close to the demand centers, and avoid all those long transmission lines.
Because aerial transmission lines on private property are the problem.  There would be no need to "work closely" with regulators, governments, or landowners if you were creating partnerships and providing value for customers.  "Working closely" is another euphemism that needs to go.  "Working closely" means "we're lobbying them intensely but they're not buying our bullshit."

Instead of trying to beat everyone into submission, perhaps you should offer a product or service that people like, want, and need?  That would turn your "missing customer" into "eager customer."  Unless you just really like swimming upstream, against the current. There are smarter and easier ways to make money.  Some days I wonder how you rich people got that way in the first place...
5 Comments

Clean Line's Delicious Lollipop

8/17/2017

3 Comments

 
Yesterday, the Missouri Public Service Commission held out a tasty, sparkly, beautiful lollipop for Grain Belt Express.  But instead of carefully handing GBE the lollipop to enjoy, the Commission plunged the lollipop into the nearest pile of manure and walked away, leaving Clean Line scrambling to dust off its lollipop before having a lick, and then sharing it with MJMEUC, environmental groups, and the media.

Don't lick this lollipop!
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What exactly happened at the PSC yesterday?

Grain Belt Express's application was denied.  Done.  Finished.  Not approved.  Case over.

But then the PSC did something unfortunate.  It issued what can only be dubbed a useless opinion on the case it had just denied.  The denial is the only thing with any legal effect.  It doesn't matter if they might have approved it, or whether they think it was worthwhile, because it's denied and the useless opinions in the "concurrence" have no authority or effect.  The project is denied.

Of course, Clean Line begged for this favorable opinion separate and apart from a denial, and the Commission spread it on pretty thick.  An actual approval couldn't have been so biased and one-sided.  During oral arguments, Clean Line's attorney said it would use the useless opinion to convince county commissions to assent to its project.  But it looks like Clean Line has used it for everything but.

Clean Line has used the useless opinion to try to shield itself in the media so it doesn't have to utter the word denial.

Clean Line has used the useless opinion to beat up on the PSC and the State of Missouri in the media.

Clean Line has used the useless opinion to make its former customers think their contract is still binding and convince them to sit around like good little sheep and fail to pursue replacements for supply contracts that expire in 4 years.

Clean Line has used the useless opinion as the proposed basis for future legal action.

Clean Line has used the useless opinion to pretend it would make a good platform for federal usurpation of the Missouri PSC's authority.  The Commission whined in its concurrence that the courts had overstepped onto Commission authority.  If they think the Missouri court system stuck its nose where it didn't belong, then the Commission ain't seen nothing yet if the Feds get involved.

Lastly, did Clean Line use that useless opinion to unlock the investor money vault and give its investors false hope that the opinion had some value and effect?  I wonder how the Missouri PSC might have ill-advisedly overstepped by producing knowingly ineffective and overly complimentary opinions that give investors false hope for a project that has failed?  At least one Commissioner had the good sense not to sign that thing.

The Missouri Public Service Commission's "Concurrence" is a powerless, feel-good, useless opinion that does not matter.  It does nothing.  It has no legal force or effect.  It's just a piece of paper.

The only thing that matters from yesterday is the Order denying Grain Belt's Application.  Grain Belt Express was denied by the PSC.  It cannot be built in Missouri.  That isn't some easily scaled "hurdle," it's a 16-story brick wall.  Missouri said no.  End of story.

The Missouri Landowners Alliance's attorney told the AP everything they needed to know yesterday.
"They're done at this point. We won. They can't build the line," said Paul Agathen, an attorney for the Missouri Landowners Alliance. "So it's up to them as to what steps, if any, they take."
So there Clean Line sits, holding its dirty PSC lollipop, hoping everyone has a lick.  Just say "no" to that lollipop or you're going to end up with a mouth full of.... 

Next... what happens when a Clean Line employee consumes too much sugar?  Stay tuned...
3 Comments

Todd Burns:  Liar?  Or Just Stupid?

8/10/2017

5 Comments

 
It's one or the other.  Let's contemplate this...

When I asked Todd Burns what his company's return on equity was, he appeared confused.  He didn't know what a return on equity was.  It was only after I explained what it was that he finally remembered that Transource's return on equity for this project is "10 to 11 percent" something like that.  FACT:  Transource has applied to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission for a 10.9% ROE.  The matter is currently in settlement discussions, with an administrative hearing possible if a settlement is not reached.

I met a handful of the Transource guys and gals the other night.  Most attempted to be personable and avoid direct lies while trying to answer my increasingly hard questions.  And then I worked my way up to Todd Burns.

He also had trouble admitting that Transource has received an incentive from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that allows the company to file to recover all its sunk costs from ratepayers in the event that PJM decides to abandon this project. 

So, do the lawyers and bean counters at "Transource" (really utility giant AEP, because Transource has no employees of its own) not share basic information, such as return on equity and who pays if the project is abandoned, with Todd Burns?  Todd needs to hustle home to Columbus with great alacrity and find out about all this stuff!  Otherwise, he looks rather stupid to a public who does know about it.  Or maybe he looks like a liar who was pretending to be uninformed so he could avoid the question?  As if that could happen.

Todd Burns also seemed to be confused about a lot of other facts during an interview with the Waynesboro Herald Record.  Despite that, the reporter managed to write a great, balanced article.  The Herald Record has the best coverage of this issue that I've seen (other media take note!)  What was it that Burns said?
Burns said some of the negative feedback is based on misinformation about the project. “There’s a lot of confusion and a lot of things being said that aren’t accurate,” Burns said.
I blame you, Todd.  I think most of the "misinformation" is coming from you.  Please, allow me to demonstrate...
“Burying lines causes problems,” Burns said. “If a line fails and it’s underground, it can’t be located and fixed immediately. That’s what happened recently on the Outer Banks.
“The environmental disturbance is greater to trench and bury a line than to run it overhead. And it’s ten-times more costly to do it underground.”

It is NOT "ten times more costly" to underground lines.  In fact, it's only twice as costly, roughly.  AEP has been claiming undergrounding is "ten times more costly" for years, along with a whole bunch of other excuses for taking the cheaper and easier option of aerial lines.  And the technology does exist to determine where a fault is on an underground line.  And you probably can mark an underground line to prevent all by the biggest idiots from pile driving onto it.  I'm not buying the environmental disturbance thing, either.  I've seen what transmission companies do to rights of way when building overhead lines.  So, let's update these excuses, because they sort of sound like a lie to me.

As well, who cares how much it costs to underground lines?  If the landowners require undergrounding, then that is the cost of fixing this "bottleneck."  Are you saying that unless you can build this cheaply that all the savings for the DC-Baltimore elite will evaporate?  A more expensive project doesn't clear a cost-benefit analysis?  Then, obviously, this project isn't worth doing.  It is not incumbent upon Pennsylvania and Maryland landowners to sacrifice by allowing the cheapest project you can build in order to move cheaper power to the city.  If you want them to sacrifice for the cities, then the landowners need to have input into how the final project looks on their property.  And by having input, I mean actually making the determination -- I don't mean having an opportunity to toss comments down a black hole at Transource where they are completely ignored.  The only way a landowner can have effective input is when eminent domain is not an option.  Anything else is coercion, not negotiation.  Which brings us to...
“I’ve heard people are concerned about land use and whether they will be able to use their properties,” Burns said. “People will still be able to work under the power lines, although obviously there would be a limit on building underneath them. The land is still useable.”
Burns said property owners would be compensated for the easements through their land. “We’re going to be acquiring easements from the landowners and compensate them for it. They will retain the rights to certain activities,” Burns said.
He said property-owners shouldn’t be worried about the threat of eminent domain. “Our approach is we negotiate fair market value for anything that has to be acquired,” he explained. “We use eminent domain less than three percent of the time.”

If you want to see how landowners can still work under high voltage transmission lines, carefully watch the AEP videos on this page.  Nuisance shocks, EMF, and big brother monitoring your activities on your own land?  What's not to like?  But wait, there's more... like aerial spraying of the right of way with chemicals to keep growth down,  or power line workers coming on your property for maintenance or repairs and leaving gates open, driving large equipment through your fields, and disturbing the soil.  The truth is that you will have picked up a parasitic tenant on your land... in perpetuity.

"Compensation" for property taken may be less than you'd expect.  After all it is a value created by an out of state company, that will never even lay eyes on your place, from market studies of similar land sales of property in your county.  It is Transource's idea of the value of your property, not yours.  As well, you may only be paid for the property in the right of way, when the right of way itself devalues the rest of the parcel.  Payments for damages will be argued over in court for years... at your expense, if you don't accept what the company wants to give you.

I'm pretty sure Transource land agents will use the threat of eminent domain 100% of the time in order to coerce the landowner to sign on the dotted line.  That isn't negotiation, that's coercion.
Burns said he is confident the Independence Energy Connection will save customers money not just in the greater metropolitan areas south of here, but locally. “The driver is to give customers in this area access to lower costs,” he said. He said it is too early to estimate what the cost savings might be, or whether local, independent energy companies will pass the savings on to customers. “They may have other initiatives that will affect your bill,” Burns said.
Perhaps Burns needs to talk to his underlings, who have readily admitted that the lion's share of the savings is for customers in the DC/Baltimore area.  And PJM agrees with that.  That's why 80.52% of the cost of this project will be paid for by DC, Baltimore and Northern Virginia Customers.
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Those who receive the benefits (in this instance cheaper power) pay the costs.  That's how PJM works.  Any savings for the project area (benefits) are not commensurate with the cost to the community and the individual landowners.  Their costs are much greater than any benefit they may receive.

And I hate to let Burns know, but one of his underlings actually confirmed that market efficiency projects perform a leveling of costs across the region.  If power is cheaper in the cities, the cost of it must rise somewhere else.  All that cheap power "bottlenecked" in PA and MD and unable to reach the cities?  Those are the prices that are going to go up once the "bottleneck" is removed.

And then Burns admits he has no hard evidence of how (or even if) this project will lower local electric bills.  Then he supposes that local electric companies may keep any savings that develop for themselves.  Of course... always thinking ahead, that Todd, to explain now why bills will never go down after this project is built.

Todd is not telling the truth about project benefit.  But he may not be the only one with a penchant for prevarication.  Transource spokeswoman Abby Foster made up a whole bunch of satisfied and happy landowners out of thin air.
Despite the many negative comments exchanged from person to person around the packed community center, Transource officials said there was also positive feedback.
“We found in this area, people understand the greater need for infrastructure,” said Abby Foster, community affairs representative for Transource Energy. “Everyone here benefits from something being on someone’s property.”
Foster said the positive comments she heard came from residents who see the financial benefits of easements on their properties as well as the benefits of costs savings on energy bills.
She said some residents don’t like the exact location of the proposed line across their properties but are willing to have it shifted to a different location on their properties.
“There’s a lot that has shifted because of public input,” Foster said.
Why are there no quotes from these people?  Why didn't the reporter talk to any of them?  Is that because they don't exist?  These must be the mysterious folks who have requested monopoles, because those people are just as elusive.  What it seems more like is that Transource is making up a mythical landowner who is pleased because Transource is altering its plans to suit Mr. Mythical.  A company that presented its public image as "take it or leave it" would be seen as unfavorable by the public.  One that pretends it is bending to the will of the people may curry more favor.  But when there are no happy people in reality, it's all an illusion.  Nobody wants this transmission line on their property.

And as far as that “everyone here benefits from something being on someone’s property” line, puh-leeze.  I heard that from one of the Transource people at the open house.  It was the tagline of the night.  And it sucks.  It doesn't work on the public, just so you know, Transource.  Other companies have tried it before you.  It is met with anger and confusion.  It has no relevance for affected landowners.  Just because we use eminent domain and rights of way to take property for public use does not mean that everyone should gladly sacrifice for the selfish needs of others.  And that's what this is... rural sacrifice for urban benefit.  This project isn't needed to keep the lights on.  It's only "need," according to PJM, is to make power cheaper in the cities to the south.  Those cities like to keep their pretty skylines lit up all night long.  There's no reason at all to keep an office tower lit inside all night.  Maybe if the cities quit wasting so much electricity, they wouldn't need to call older, more expensive plants to generate during peak load a few days out of the year.  And then we wouldn't "need" gigantic transmission towers in Pennsylvania.

Let's wrap up with this...
“We’ll look at a route that strikes the best balance,” Burns said, mentioning recreational activities, historic value and land use concerns. “You rarely come up with one that’s gonna satisfy all those things. Ultimately, it will be at the state level to decide where it goes.”
It is up to the state to decide WHETHER it goes, not just where.  Opposition to this project is huge and gathering mass every minute.  Loud, forthright opposition kills transmission projects.  Todd Burns is going to need to get himself educated quickly!  Or else quit lying.  He's not very good at it.
5 Comments

How Dare you, Dominion!

8/8/2017

5 Comments

 
I was completely floored to hear how rude, insulting and arrogant Mr. Chuck Penn of Dominion was on the Kojo Nnamdi radio show yesterday.  Shame on you, Chuck!  You sure didn't paint your company in a good light.  In fact, you only served to create new enemies.  I'm one.

Now, I met Mr. Penn several years ago and he was quite the friendly personality.  But, then again, he was getting what he wanted at the time (and so was I).  Either he's been drinking too much Arrogant Bastard ale of late, or he's really been a nasty person all along.

The story presented on the show concerns a transmission project Dominion wants to build in Prince William County, Va.  The transmission line is "necessary" to serve a proposed new data center owned by an Amazon subsidiary.  And Dominion wants to run it through private property.  Of course, the affected landowners objected.  Their local elected county officials responded by backing the landowners.  Dominion's "preferred route" was blocked by the creation of a conservation easement along the route.  The Virginia State Corporation Commission then selected the next route option that plows through the nearby Carver Road community.  Carver Road is an historic African-American community.  Dominion (and Mr. Penn on the radio) played this up as a rich, white community dumping unwanted infrastructure on a less affluent African-American community.  This is the stuff movies are made of, right?  Except the Carver Road community has joined forces with the community on the original route to oppose the transmission line on any route.  The original group is fighting just as hard to have the route moved out of Carver Road as they did to have it moved out of their own neighborhood.  This is the epitome of a community working together to benefit everyone, despite Mr. Penn's best efforts to portray it as racial.  I'm guessing that Mr. Penn doesn't speak for Carver Road... after all, he works for Dominion.  Mr. Penn thinks the county should release the easement so Dominion can build its project along the original route.

How about this?  How about Dominion doesn't build its project at all?

Opponents said that the data center isn't even a sure thing, and even if it was, this project is nothing more than a gigantic service line, necessary only to serve the data center. 

There is a route that goes along the highway and comprises some buried sections of line.  The Virginia SCC says they did not select that route because it was "too expensive."  Penn said that route would cost $100M more than tearing up one of the affected neighborhoods with an overhead line.  And then Dominion and the SCC sit around and talk about how all ratepayers in the region will pay for the transmission line so they need to build it as cheaply as possible.

The opposition pointed out that 97% of the transmission line benefit will be for Amazon and asked why Amazon isn't paying 97% of the cost?  If you or I built a house up on a remote mountain and then wanted electric service, we'd have to pay to run our service line from the nearest distribution line.  This project is nothing more than that on a grand scale.  Why should Amazon have no cost responsibility for its own service line?  Because of economic development, jobs, taxes, and all the wonderful things it could possibly bring to Prince William County?  Who did the cost benefit analysis on that to prove that the benefits of the data center are greater than the cost to the ratepayers?

And then we get down to the fundamental question... why must a handful of landowners sacrifice their economic and environmental well-being to host a transmission line for a data center that economically benefits the entire region?  If the project can be built on a more expensive route that nobody objects to, and Amazon covers the cost of its service line, where's the harm to the ratepayers of using the more expensive route?  The true cost of a transmission project is one that finds a route that doesn't harm anyone.  If that includes burial, so be it.

The idea that certain segments of society (either black or white) must sacrifice for the whole is outdated and unacceptable any longer.  This isn't the 1930's when that was necessary to electrify the country.  "But for" the data center, this project isn't necessary.

I find Dominion's attempt to play communities against each other completely disgusting. Instead, the communities should be fighting their common enemy, Dominion.  The communities are to be commended for refusing to fall for Chuck's ruse.  United they stand, divided they fall.

And Chuck should quit being so ugly to people.  I'm sure his momma taught him better than that. 
5 Comments

AEP's Shocking Arrogance Translated into Cheesy Videos

7/28/2017

3 Comments

 
Well, hey, hey, hey, aren't we Johnny on the Spot with our Wind Catcher Energy Connection project website, AEP!  But there seems to be some sort of discrepancy.  AEP has not provided the same information to the public on its website for the Independence Energy Connection, even though that project is several months down the road into route selection.  Independence Energy Connection's website provided very little information up until quite recently, and what's there now is so facile that it insults the intelligence of the public.

For example, this explanation of "congestion."
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Right... because transmission lines are just like highways and if all the electrons can't squeeze through electric prices will go up?  You forgot to mention that the "cheaper" electricity that can't squeeze through is only "cheaper" because it can't get through.  Once your 4-lane highway is in place, all the "cheaper" energy will motor through to consumers in other places.

And Independence Energy Connection seems to be missing this collection of cheesy videos that you've provided for "property owners" on your Wind Catcher Energy Connection website.  I'm sure they apply to both projects.

After watching a few of these videos I can only conclude that AEP has absolutely NO self-awareness.  Does AEP really think these videos will appeal to and reassure landowners that everything is going to be hunky dory?  The technique of using multiple actors to recite talking points and finish each other's sentences is annoying.  I'm not sure what presenting your information in that format was supposed to accomplish.  Are the public supposed to find someone they identify with in the video and listen to their 10 words of information and reject the rest recited by the other people they don't like the looks of?  Honestly, some of these guys look like deer in the headlights.  If they're not comfortable presenting information, then the viewer is not comfortable receiving it.  Or is the viewer supposed to feel like they're outnumbered and the only one going against the program?  Whatever technique you were going for, I don't think it works.

And that's because of the actual information recited. 

Such as this one, where AEP says they control what you can do on your land and you'll need AEP's permission to use it.

Or this one, where AEP lists all the things you might want to do with your land that they consider "encroachments."  AEP will monitor what you do and may "insist" that "encroachments" be removed.

This one may be most shocking... because AEP calmly tells you how you may be shocked while around or under their high-voltage transmission lines.  But it's not a risk to you.  It just might be a bit uncomfortable.  Forever.  It's all perfectly safe.

So, let's see here... AEP has just told property owners being asked to host new transmission lines that AEP will become Big Brother to monitor what goes on on their properties forevermore, insist that they remove anything AEP doesn't like, and that they're probably going to be "nuisance" shocked constantly.   Well, gosh, AEP, sign me up!!!

And AEP wonders why property owners oppose their projects?

One last thing, AEP.  I sort of hate to play the race card and all, but why are all the people in your videos white, except for that lone token black guy?  That's not what a cross-section of America looks like, in case that's what you were attempting.

AEP just keeps kicking itself in the butt.  Nice going, knuckleheads!
3 Comments

Why Buy the Milk When You Can Own the Cow?

7/27/2017

2 Comments

 
Have you often wondered why Clean Line Energy Partners doesn't have any customers for its transmission projects?

Clean Line proposes to build a transmission line and sell capacity on the line to load serving entities who want to buy power from future wind facilities and ship it east to serve their retail customers.

But what if that load serving entity already owned a bunch of its own generation and transmission assets... would buying one more generator and building one more transmission line be no big deal?

Utilities make money by owning physical assets like transmission lines and regulated generators that allow them to shift the costs and risks to captive customers and earn a guaranteed return (or profit) on their ownership.

Clean Line wanted to make money just like any utility by owning a profitable asset.  Except other utilities would much rather own the transmission (and generation) asset themselves and collect a return.  It's sort of like the difference between paying rent and ownership, and ownership comes with a guaranteed return on your investment.  What's not to like for big utilities who want to purchase generators and transmission lines to serve their geographically distant customers?

This article explains how utilities are cutting out the middleman wind farm and transmission line owner in favor of scoring the biggest profit.

Yup, AEP has announced that it wants to buy the country's largest wind farm currently under construction and build a transmission line from the wind farm to its customers.  I'm guessing AEP doesn't want to buy transmission capacity from Clean Line and then hope generation springs up at its terminus.  The risks of that are that Clean Line will never actually be permitted and financed to build any transmission, or that the wind farms won't be built, or that prices will be much higher than expected if they actually do.  Utilities hate risk.

But AEP is no hero and its $4.5B plan has an uphill regulatory battle as it seeks to stick customers with the risks of its renewable energy plays.  AEP figures its plan will save customers in four states $7 billion, most through use of federal production tax credits for wind.  Ahhhh... AEP.... did you stop to apply any simple logic to that idea?  Where do you think federal production tax credits come from?  They come from taxpayers.  They're not cash that just falls out of the sky when a wind turbine spins.  So, those customers who receive $7B in savings are also paying into a tax system that creates the savings.  How much do customers actually save when the tax burden of creating the credits gets added into the equation?  How many other taxpayers around the country that don't receive any of AEP's $7B savings are going to be subsidizing this artificial savings house of cards?  And what happens to a wind farm with a 25-year lifespan when a 10-year tax subsidy expires?  What are the savings then?  This plan may never come to fruition.

But it stands a much better chance than Clean Line's plan.  It's interesting that AEP's ginormous wind farm is located in exactly the spot Clean Line claimed independently owned wind farms to support its Plains & Eastern Clean Line would spring up. 
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I'm thinking this announcement pretty much makes what Clean Line is peddling even less appealing.  Did AEP ask Clean Line to build a converter station near Tulsa to deliver power from a wind farm in the panhandle?  Of course not!  If AEP builds its own transmission line, it can earn anywhere between 9-12% annual return on its investment, plus have all its operating costs fully covered by ratepayers.

This is why you failed, Clean Line.  Why buy the milk when you can own the cow?
2 Comments

Clean Line Wants Taxpayer Bailout for its Transmission Projects

6/30/2017

14 Comments

 
Building five ginormous transmission projects totaling thousands of miles of new merchant lines was a pipe dream.  Utility experts said it couldn't be done.  They were right, it can't.

Teetering on the brink of failure after spending more than $200M of investor cash on his impossible dream, Clean Line Energy Partners CEO Michael Skelly now suggests that the federal government bail out his investors.
The Trump administration could help by pushing for an infrastructure package that would see the government “buying down a portion of the capacity” on big transmission projects so they can enter construction more quickly, or perhaps through an investment tax credit, Skelly suggests.

“All the ideas come down to a temporary underwriting of the project so you can get these things over the top, or some sort of tax mechanism.”
Skelly has finally given voice to his frustration in an interview with Recharge News.
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Skelly suggests that the federal government should buy capacity on his transmission project in order to get it over some imaginary hump that will allow him to start construction.  The federal government isn't in the business of buying unnecessary transmission capacity in order to prop up commercial projects that cannot stand on their own two feet.  While federal power marketers do occasionally purchase needed transmission capacity, they are not forced to do so merely to support the building of bridges to nowhere.  And if the federal government legislated the purchase of transmission capacity by its federal power marketers, it would be creating captive customers to shoulder the risk of this speculative transmission idea that cannot get off the ground on its own merits.  As a merchant transmission project, Clean Line has pledged to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that its investors will shoulder all the risk for its projects and that it does not have a captive ratepayer stream of funding.  Merchant projects succeed or fail based on their economics.  If a merchant project is useful, customers will voluntarily purchase its capacity, and the project will come to fruition.  If there are no customers, a merchant project cannot succeed.  Suggesting that the federal government pour taxpayer money into Skelly's projects would create an artificial "need" and economic basis for the project.  Participation by a government customer would not be voluntary.  That's not how merchant transmission works.
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Clean Line has no customers.  Despite Skelly's claim:
Plains & Eastern is “pretty much fully developed at this point”, Skelly says. “We’re now in the commercialisation phase, matching chippers – that is wind developers – with utilities in the southeast.”
He turns around in his next breath and suggests that the federal government be forced into being a customer through legislation or executive mandate.  Obviously, Skelly's efforts to match his chippers with customers isn't working.  It's been 18 months since the U.S. DOE got involved in his project in an attempt to usurp state authority and claim federal eminent domain authority to site the Plains & Eastern Clean Line, and Skelly still doesn't have a customer.  When the DOE agreed to participate in the project in March, 2016, Skelly claimed that he would have his customer agreements sewn up in a matter of weeks, but that has not panned out.

Skelly's other taxpayer bailout idea is federal investment tax credits.  This would give a direct tax credit to project investors, which they could use as cash to pay down their own corporate tax debt.  Let's see... ultra rich 1% Democrats who invested in a renewable energy scheme supported by a Democratic White House want the current Congress to bail them out with tax credits.
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A tax credit is taxpayer-funded cash for its owner.  By eliminating its own corporate tax debt, the investor would have more cash to invest in Clean Line Energy Partners.  Essentially, it's free government money for Clean Line that the investors wouldn't spend otherwise.  It's a way to prop up Clean Line's failing business model with taxpayer funds.  Clean Line's investors pay less taxes?  You pay more to make up the difference.

Where does the federal government get its money?   Out of your pocket.  Every.last.dollar.  There's no such thing as "free" government money.

So Clean Line has been posturing to the Trump Administration for months now, suggesting it is a prime candidate for the President's great, great Infrastructure Plan.  Trump has posited that private investors can belly up to the bar and fund billions in new infrastructure projects in exchange for ownership that creates a revenue stream, or tax credits that allow publicly-owned projects to be built.
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Except Clean Line isn't a publicly-owned project.  Clean Line's rich investors will own the project and the revenue stream, and charge the public a fee to use it.  There's no benefit for the public.  It's nothing short of taxpayer-financed private industry, and it cannot be included in an infrastructure package designed to get infrastructure like roads and public works projects built.  And furthermore, Skelly wants the federal government to be the "private sector investor" who gets his project over the finish line!  I'm pretty certain that's not what Trump had in mind.

Once certain that his transmission projects would be marketable under a Democratic administration, Skelly now fantasizes about a Republican-led taxpayer bailout to prop up his failing company.
“It’s still a bit early to tell exactly what the administration will do to stimulate more infrastructure investment,” Skelly says. “But in terms of the things they’re talking about, with private-sector-led projects, it forms a pretty nice Venn diagram with transmission.”
What kind of a guy uses the words "Venn diagram" to prop up his unsuccessful ideas in the media?
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Is Skelly's dream even logical, or is the stress getting to him?  Why would the federal government fund an infrastructure project that's supposed to be "led by private investors?"

The idea that our current Congress will pour buckets of taxpayer dollars into a wind energy transmission project that has no customers in order to bail it out of its current financial crisis is insane.
14 Comments
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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